World Cup 2026 Group E Game 3

World Cup 2026 Group E Game 3 Analysis

All round 2 analysis here.

           pts ΔG GF Sport
Germany     6  +7  9   0
Ivory Coast 3   0  2  -3
Ecuador     1  -1  0  -2
Curacao     1  -6  1  -5

Summary

• Germany wins the division. Ivory Coast can still be eliminated.

• Germany

  • Germany wins the division

• Ivory Coast

  • Ivory Coast advances in second place with a win or tie

  • Ivory Cost probably advances with a loss and an Ecuador loss or tie.

  • Ivory Coast is eliminated on a loss and and Ecuador win.

• Ecuador

  • Ecuador likely advances on a win.

  • Ecuador is (likely) eliminated on a loss or tie.

• Curacao

  • Curacao likely advances on a win.

  • Curacao is (likely) eliminated on a loss or tie.

Complete breakdown:

Germany beats Ecuador:
	Germany #1
	Ivory Coast beats Curacao:
		Ivory Coast #2
		Germany-Ecuador goal diff – Ivory Coast-Curacao goal diff < 5
			Ecuador #3 (1 pt – probably eliminated)
			Curacao #4 is eliminated
		Germany-Ecuador goal diff – Ivory Coast-Curacao goal diff = 5
			Ecuador game 3 goals – Curacao game 3 goals > 1
				Ecuador #3 (1 pt – probably eliminated)
				Curacao is eliminated
			Ecuador game 3 goals – Curacao game 3 goals = 1
				Ecuador has less than 2 more fair play points than Curacao in game 3
					Ecuador #3 (1 pt – probably eliminated)
					Curacao #4 is eliminated
				Ecuador has exactly 2 more fair play points than Curacao in game 3
					lots choose between Ecuador and Curacao  for #3 (1 pt – probably eliminated) and #4 is eliminated
				Ecuador has more than 2 more fair play points than Curacao in game 3
					Curacao #3 (1 pt – probably eliminated)
					Ecuador #4 is eliminated
			Ecuador game 3 goals – Curacao game 3 goals < 1
				Curacao #3 (1 pt – probably eliminated)
				Ecuador is eliminated
		Germany-Ecuador goal diff – Ivory Coast-Curacao goal diff < 5
			Curacao #3 (1 pt – probably eliminated)
			Ecuador #4 is eliminated
	Ivory Coast ties Curacao:
		Ivory Coast#2
		Curacao #3 (2 pts – probably eliminated)
		Ecuador #4 is eliminated
	Curacao beats Ivory Coast:
		Curacao #2
		Ivory Coast #3 (3 pts)
		Ecuador #4 is eliminated
Germany ties Ecuador:
	Germany #1
	Ivory Coast beats Curacao:
		Ivory Coast #2
		Ecuador #3 (2 pt -probably eliminated)
		Curacao #4 is eliminated
	Ivory Coast ties Curacao:
		Ivory Coast #2
		Ecuador #3 (2 pts -probably eliminated)
		Curacao #4 is eliminated
	Curacao beats Ivory Coast
		Curacao #2
		Ivory Coast #3 (3 pts)
		Ecuador #3 is eliminated
Ecuador beats Germany
	Germany #1
	Ivory Coast beats or ties Curacao:
		Ivory Coast #2
		Ecuador #3 (4 pts)
		Curacao $4 is eliminated
	Curacao beats Ivory Coast:
		Ecuador-Germany goal diff – Curacao-Ivory Coast goal diff < 5
			Ecuador #2
			Curacao #3 (4 pts)
		Ecuador-Germany goal diff – Curacao-Ivory Coast goal diff = 5
			Ecuador game 3 goals – Curacao game 3 goals > 1
				Ecuador #2
				Curacao #4 (4 pts)
			Ecuador game 3 goals – Curacao game 3 goals = 1
				Ecuador has less than 2 more fair play points than Curacao in game 3
					Ecuador #2
					Curacao #3 (4 pts)
				Ecuador has exactly 2 more fair play points than Curacao in game 3
					lots choose between Ecuador and Curacao  for #2 and #3 (4 pts)
				Ecuador has more than 2 more fair play points than Curacao in game 3
					Curacao #2
					Ecuador #3 (4 pts)
			Ecuador game 3 goals – Curacao game 3 goals < 1
				Curacao #2
				Ecuador #3 (4 pts)
		Germany-Ecuador goal diff – Ivory Coast-Curacao goal diff < 5
			Curacao #2
			Ecuador #3 (4 pts)
		Ivory Coast #4 is eliminated