World Cup 2026 Group A Game 3

World Cup 2026 Group A Game 3 Analysis

All round 2 analysis here.

               pts ΔG GF Sport
Mexico     	6  +3  3  -5
South Korea	3   0  2  -3
Czechia   	1  -1  2  -1
South Africa 	1  -2  1  -12

Summary

• Mexico has already won the division, no matter what else happens.

• Mexico.

  • Mexico wins the group .

• South Korea

  • South Korea advances as #2 on a win.

  • South Korea advances as #2 on a tie, and a Czechia loss or tie

  • South Korea may advance on a loss and a Czechia loss or tie

  • South Korea is eliminated on a loss and a Czechia win..

• Czechia

  • Czechia advances on a win and a South Korea loss.

  • Czechia advances on a 2 or more goal win and a South Korea loss.

  • Czechia likely advances on a win and a South Korea tie.

  • Czechia is eliminated on a loss or tie.

• South Africa

  • South Aftrica advances on a win and a Czechia loss or tie.

  • South Africa likely advances on a win and a Czechia win.

  • South Africa is eliminated on a loss or tie.

Complete breakdown:

Mexico beats Czechia:
	Mexico #1
	South Korea beats South Africa:
		South Korea #2
		Czechia #3 (1pt probably eliminated)
		South Africa is eliminated
	South Korea ties South Africa:
		South Korea #2
		South Africa #3 (2 pts – probably eliminated)
		Czechia #4 is eliminated
	South Africa beats South Korea:
		South Africa #2
		South Korea #3 (3pts may be eliminated)
		Czechia is eliminated
Mexico ties Czechia:
	Mexico #1
	South Korea beats South Africa:
		South Korea #2
		Czechia #3 (2pt probably eliminated)
		South Africa is eliminated
	South Korea ties South Africa:
		South Korea #2
		Czechia #3 (2 pts – probably eliminated)
		South Africa #4 is eliminated
	South Africa beats South Korea:
		South Africa #2
		South Korea #3 (3pts – may be eliminated)
		Czechia is eliminated
Czechia beats Mexico:
	Mexico #1
	South Korea beats South Africa:
		South Korea #2
		Czechia #3 (4pts)
		South Africa is eliminated
	South Korea ties South Africa:
		Czechia wins by 1 goals:
			South Korea scores more goals that Czechia:
				South Korea #2
				Czechia #3 (4 pts)
			South Korea scores the same number of goals as Czechia:
				Czechia has less than 2 more fair play points than South Korea in game 3:
					Czechia #2
					South Korea #3 (4 pts)
				Czechia has exactly 2 more fair play points than South Korea in game 3:
					lots choose between Czechia and South Korea  for #2 and #3
				Czechia has more than 2 more fair play points than South Korea in game 3
					South Korea #2
					Czechia #3 (4 pts)
			South Korea scores fewer goals that Czechia:
				Czechia #2
				South Korea #3 (4 pts)
		Czechia wins by more than 1 goal:
				Czechia #2
				South Korea #3 (4 pts)
		South Africa #4 is eliminated
	South Africa beats South Korea:
		Czechia #2
		South Africa #3 (4pts)
		South Koriea is eliminated