World Cup 2026 Group C Game 3 Analysis
pts ΔG GF Sport Brazil 4 +3 4 -3 Morocco 4 +1 2 -1 Scotland 3 0 1 -4 Haiti 0 -4 0 -4
Summary
Brazil and Morocco are basically fighting for first and second. Even in the rare chance they fall to 3rd, they should qualify with 4 pts and a positive goal differential. Scotland wants to improve it’s current 3 point 3rd place finish. Haiti is eliminated.
Brazil.
Brazil wins the group with a win and either a Morocco tie or loss or Morocco doesn’t win by enough goals
Brazil wins the group on tie and a Morocco tie or loss.
Brazil advances on a win or tie.
Brazil likely advances as a 4 point 3rd place on a loss.
Morocco
Morocco wins the group with a win and a Brazil loss or tie or a win by enough goals.
Morocco advances on a win or tie.
Morocco likely advances as a 4 point 3rd place on a loss.
Scotland
Scotland wins the group with a win and a Morocco tie or loss.
Scotland advances on a win.
Scotland likely advances on a tie, either 2nd place or 4 point 3rd place.
Scotland may advance on a loss as a 4 point 3rd place team .
Haiti
Haiti is eliminated
Complete breakdown:
Brazil beats Scotland: Morocco beats Haiti: Morocco-Haiti goal diff - Brazil-Scotland goal diff < 2 Brazil #1 Morocco #2 Morocco-Haiti goal diff - Brazil-Scotland goal diff = 2 Morocco game 3 goals – Brazil game 3 goals < 2 Brazil #1 Morocco #2 Morocco game 3 goals – Brazil game 3 goals = 2 Morocco has less than 2 more fair play points than Brazil in game 3 Morocco #1 Brazil #2 Morocco has exactly 2 more fair play points than Brazil in game 3 lots choose between Morocco and Brazil for #1 and #2 Morocco has more than 2 more fair play points than Brazil in game 3 Brazil #1 Morocco #2 Morocco game 3 goals – Brazil game 3 goals > 2 Morocco #1 Brazil #2 Morocco-Haiti goal diff - Brazil-Scotland goal diff < 2 Morocco #1 Brazil #2 Morocco ties Haiti: Brazil #1 Morocco #2 Haiti beats Morocco: Brazil #1 Morocco #2 Scotland #3 (3pts may be eliminated) Brazil ties Scotland: Morocco beats Haiti: Morocco #1 Brazil #2 Morocco ties Haiti: Brazil #1 Morocco #2 Scotland #3 (4pt) Haiti beats Morocco: Brazil #1 Hait beats Morocco by 1 goal Scotland scores less than one more goal that Morocco Morocco #2 Scotland #3 (4pt) Scotland scores exactly one more goal that Morocco Morocco has less than 3 more fair play points than Scotland in game 3: Morocco #2 Scotland #3 (4pt) Morocco has exactly 3 more fair play points than Scotland in game 3: lots choose between Morocco and Scotland for #2 and #3 (4pts) Morocco has more than 3 more fair play points than Scotland in game 3: Scotland #2 Morroccco #3 (4pt) Scotland scores more than one more goal that Morocco Scotland #2 Morroccco #3 (4pt) Hait beats Morocco by more than 1 goal Scotland #2 Morroccco #3 (4pt) Scotland beats Brazil: Morocco beats Haiti: Morocco #1 Scotland #2 Brazil #3 (4pts) Morocco ties Haiti: Scotland #1 Morocco #2 Brazil #3 (4pts) Haiti beats Morocco: Scotland #1 Brazil-Scotland goal diff - Haiti-Morocco goal diff < 2 Brazil #2 Morocco #3 (4 pts) Brazil-Scotland goal diff - Haiti-Morocco goal diff = 2 Morocco game 3 goals – Brazil game 3 goals < 2 Brazil #2 Morocco #3 (4 pts) Morocco game 3 goals – Brazil game 3 goals = 2 Morocco has less than 2 more fair play points than Brazil in game 3 Morocco #2 Brazil #3 (4 pts) Morocco has exactly 2 more fair play points than Brazil in game 3 lots choose between Morocco and Brazil for #2 and #3 (4pts) Morocco has more than 2 more fair play points than Brazil in game 3 Brazil #2 Morocco #3 (4 pts) Morocco game 3 goals – Brazil game 3 goals > 2 Morocco #2 Brazil #3 (4 pts) Brazil-Scotland goal diff - Haiti-Morocco goal diff < 2 Morocco #2 Brazil #3 (4 pts) Hait is eliminated
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